The Gamblers Fallacy
Critical Thinking Training Course
•
3m 22s
Perhaps the most common fallacy in our reasoning about probability is the Gambler's Fallacy which is the belief that if something hasn't happened for a long time it's bound to happen soon. But is this true?
Up Next in Critical Thinking Training Course
-
The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
We all need to be aware of the phenomenon of the self-fulfilling prophecy, a prediction that causes itself to come true, it's well attested, with countless examples in practice.
-
A False Dichotomy - Part 1
Speakers use False Dichotomy when they want to shake people out of a neutral position by saying that a neutral position is impossible. Of course, they know that a neutral position IS possible. What they're really saying is that the neutral position is unacceptable...
-
A False Dichotomy - Part 2
A false dichotomy also lies at the root of the problem when people are being unassertive. To be unassertive is to feel that you have to choose between saying what you think and keeping people happy. That's a false dichotomy because those are not the only two choices...
