False Linear Thinking
Critical Thinking Training Course
•
3m 6s
Be careful of any conclusion that says, if current trends continue, the whole point about trends is that they rarely continue. They are current trends. This video explains how to avoid the error and to look for evidence to help you decide whether the rising trend you're looking at is a small part of a straight line, a small part of a curve, or even just a random blip.
Up Next in Critical Thinking Training Course
-
No True Scotsman
The no true scotsman argument is one where we have made a generalisation and then, when someone comes up with a counterexample, we dismiss it by saying that the counterexample is not a real example of the kind of thing we were talking about.
-
The Baltimore Stockbroker
The baltimore stockbroker is a scam that you are most likely to fall for by pulling in on yourself. The reason why people fall for it is their tendency to see causal relationships in random events.
-
The Missing Premise
Now in this video we're going to look at something that is common to many fallacies, and also explains why most of the time we're not sure when faced with fallacious reasoning, which fallacy it actually it is.